Злой рок. Политика катастроф - Нил Фергюсон

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1610

PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll, January 7, 2021, http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_202101081001.pdf#page=3.

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1611

См. мой вклад: «The First Ninety-Nine Days», Persuasion, April 28, 2021, https://www.persuasion.community/p/the-first-99-days.

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1612

Andrew Leonard, «How Taiwan’s Unlikely Digital Minister Hacked the Pandemic», Wired, July 23, 2020, https://www.wired.com/story/how-taiwans-unlikely-digital-minister-hacked-the-pandemic.

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1613

Yun Xuan Pun, «How Taiwan Used Memes to Fight Pandemic Rumours», GovInsider, September 11, 2020, https://govinsider.asia/inclusive-gov/audrey-tang-digital-minister-how-taiwan-used-memes-to-fight-pandemic-rumours.

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1614

Institute for Economics and Peace, Global Peace Index 2021, June 2021, https://www.visionofhumanity.org/resources/. See also Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov, Samuel Pienknagura, and Luca Antonio Ricci, «The Macroeconomic Impact of Social Unrest», International Monetary Fund Working Paper No. 2021/135, May 7, 2021, https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2021/05/07/The-Macroeconomic-Impact-of-Social-Unrest-50338.

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1615

О понятии «лавины конфликтов» см.: Edward D. Lee et al. «A Scaling Theory of Armed Conflict Avalanches», April 29, 2020, https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.14311.

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1616

Tanner Greer, «Why I Fear for Taiwan», The Scholar’s Stage, September 11, 2020, https://scholars-stage.org/why-i-fear-for-taiwan.

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1617

Lonnie Henley, «PLA Operational Concepts and Centers of Gravity in a Taiwan Conflict», Testimony before the U. S.– China Economic and Security Review Commission Hearing on Cross-Strait Deterrence, February 18, 2021, https://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/fi les/2021-02/Lonnie_Henley_Testimony.pdf.

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1618

Mallory Shelbourne, «Davidson: China Could Try to Take Control of Taiwan In ‘Next Six Years’», USNI News, March 9, 2021, https://news.usni.org/2021/03/09/davidson-china-could try-to-take-control-of-taiwan-in-next-six-years.

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1619

Michael Auslin, «The Sino-American War of 2025», Spectator, February 22, 2021, https://www.realcleardefense.com/2021/02/22/the_sino-american_war_of_2025_661237.html.

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1620

Robert D. Blackwill and Philip Zelikow, The United States, China, and Taiwan: A Strategy to Prevent War, Council of Foreign Relations, Special Report No. 90, February 2021, https://cdn.cfr.org/sites/default/files/report_pdf/csr90_1.pdf.

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1621

Max Hastings, «America Is Headed to a Showdown Over Taiwan, and China Might Win», Bloomberg, March 14, 2021, https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-03-14/max-hastings-china-might-defeat-america-in-war-over-taiwan?sref=ojq9DljU.

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1622

Намек на возможную игру слов: фамилия госсекретаря США – Блинкен, а глагол blink – это как раз и есть «моргнуть», «зажмуриться», «проморгать», «закрыть глаза на что-либо».

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1623

Alan Bennett, The History Boys (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2006).

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